There have been a lot of polls conducted over the past ten days or so showing Masschusetts state senator Scott Brown first gaining momentum, then passing AG Martha Coakley. The latest group (summary here on Real Clear Politics [2]) seem to show Brown with a comfortable lead.
Read that again. "Comfortable lead". In Massachusetts. At state Obama won with 61% of the vote, (his 8th highest total of any state in 2008).
What really interesting are some of the numbers "inside the numbers"...as in how the various demographic groups break down.
The one that really stuck out to me today was part of the Politico's Insider/Advantage poll. It shows 18-29 year old voters breaking 61% to 30% for the Republican. Again, 18 to 29 year olds...in Massachusetts, (which is a big "college town" state), for a REPUBLICAN.
This is the same group that prompted USA Today [3] to suggest a major electoral shift in America when the 2008 pre-election Gallup Poll showed them breaking to Obama by the exact same percentage (61% to 32%).
All of which leads one to wonder whether the I-Pod and Facebook generation is getting a little put off by the Democrats push for the same old expensive, big government solutions to modern problems.
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