Speaker Nancy Pelosi in 2015 Unless …

After the Republicans and their congressional leaders lost the battle to stave off Barack Obama’s gigantic $620 billion tax increase bill  --  which actually also increased federal spending  --  and after John Boehner nearly lost his bid for reelection as Speaker of the House of Representatives on the first ballot last Thursday, the Republican leadership (most especially Boehner and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell,) should be walking on egg shells. 

The conservative base of the Republican Party is infuriated over the way Boehner and McConnell capitulated to Obama.  Other conservatives, at the very least, are disappointed in their leadership, such as it is, during the 112th Congress. 

The Republican congressional leaders now have to win the three upcoming “fiscal cliff” battles during the next two months or Nancy Pelosi will resume her speakership of the House of Representatives on January 3, 2015:  the debt ceiling fight in late February or early March; the “sequestration” battle in March; and the “budget resolution” confrontation which must be settled by March 27th.

Regarding the first crisis next month or early March, although Obama is now in a Mohamed Morsi power-grabbing mode -- as evidenced by Obama’s statement that he won’t have another debate on any future debt ceiling crises -- Obama will indeed be forced to deal with the debt ceiling crisis as well as having to deal with the other two fiscal “crises.”  Laughably, Obama said that he will have nothing more to do with the next political confrontation taking shape:  the fight in February over raising the nation’s borrowing limit, according to “The New York Times” on January 2nd:  “I will not have another debate with this Congress over whether or not they should pay the bills that they’ve already racked up through the laws that they passed.”

Au contraire, Mr. President.  You will indeed have to deal with the Republican-controlled House of Representatives and that is in the United States Constitution.  At a minimum, the Republicans must extract at least a dollar’s worth of spending cuts for each dollar of increase Obama wants the debt ceiling raised. The “Times” article goes on to report:  “Now, the president and Mr. Boehner are signaling a fresh round of take-it-or-leave it stands that are in sharp opposition: The president says increasing the borrowing limit is nonnegotiable, while Republicans say the House is all but certain to pass a bill that raises the debt limit only in exchange for significant cuts — a challenge to Mr. Obama and the Democratic-controlled Senate.”

The second “fiscal crisis” which John Boehner and Mitch McConnell must win is the so-called “sequestration” battle sometime in March.  Congress in 2011 passed a bill mandating that $1.2 trillion be cut divided equally between defense and non-defense programs between January 2013 and October 2021.  It is said that the president wants these cuts to go through.  Considering the fact that conservative Senators Tom Coburn, R-OK and Rand Paul, R-KY have advocated a $1 trillion cut from the Defense Department  --  and virtually every conservative believes that non-defense program spending can easily be cut by at least the amount mandated by the 2011 “sequestration” legislation  --  the Republican-controlled House of Representatives should pass a bill approving all of the “sequestration” cuts, but also demand that the entire $1.2 trillion saved go to federal debt reduction.

The third “fiscal crisis,” the budget resolution crisis, must be solved before the current law authorizing spending expires on March 27.  If Congress does not pass a continuing resolution there will likely be a partial federal government shut-down in late March.  The Republican leadership in Congress should welcome this opportunity to further reduce spending even if there is a partial government shut-down to force Obama’s hand. 

After these three upcoming fiscal crisis battles are resolved, Republicans in this 113th Congress  --  if their congressional leadership has any courage whatsoever and if they do not want to be in the minority in the 114th Congress  --  should have been able to wrangle several trillions of dollars in spending cuts from Barack Obama’s massive federal government apparatus including cuts from Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security.   The Republican majority in the House of Representatives controls the purse strings of the federal government which gives their leadership great leverage over Obama and the Democrat-controlled Senate during these next 3 “fiscal crises.” 

The American people are sick and tired of Obama’s trillion dollar annual deficits (four in his first term and undoubtedly 4 more trillion dollar annual deficits in his second term.)  Additionally, if the Republicans do not put a stop to his fiscal irresponsibility, Obama will have at least doubled the national debt which now stands at over $16.4 trillion  --   compared to $10.6 trillion when he became president  --  and which is expected to grow to over $20 trillion unless the Republicans in Congress stop him. 

And stop Obama they must, or the American people will be groaning and chaffing once again under the abrasive speakership of San Francisco’s Nancy Pelosi in 2015.